Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.016822 1.156105 1.307838 1.485471 1.687815 1.911240 2.176817
2025-12-14 0.770844 0.952516 1.167650 1.441478 1.781209 2.189494 2.718430
2025-12-21 0.642109 0.840629 1.089747 1.425874 1.868566 2.433139 3.210227
2025-12-28 0.575118 0.789386 1.071342 1.470455 2.022589 2.762088 3.832261
2026-01-04 0.502182 0.717827 1.013410 1.449436 2.078763 2.958079 4.287040
2026-01-11 0.461104 0.683594 0.999954 1.484308 2.210660 3.265110 4.922666
2026-01-18 0.419004 0.642071 0.969987 1.489296 2.295675 3.507832 5.482973
2026-01-25 0.377348 0.596080 0.927615 1.469258 2.337771 3.686030 5.957132
2026-02-01 0.338594 0.550177 0.880129 1.435035 2.351852 3.818487 6.366880
2026-02-08 0.305331 0.509456 0.836398 1.401444 2.361712 3.941976 6.769502
2026-02-15 0.285360 0.488390 0.822019 1.413923 2.447482 4.195346 7.412397
2026-02-22 0.262920 0.460902 0.794202 1.400343 2.486256 4.370664 7.933235
2026-03-01 0.236557 0.426412 0.755153 1.370499 2.506378 4.537789 8.500535
2026-03-08 0.210903 0.390969 0.711711 1.329774 2.505594 4.673358 9.038187
2026-03-15 0.192355 0.366288 0.684627 1.315407 2.550716 4.895783 9.764016
2026-03-22 0.183224 0.358167 0.686955 1.356462 2.705372 5.340628 10.977806
2026-03-29 0.167661 0.335888 0.660003 1.337105 2.738176 5.550153 11.737579
2026-04-05 0.159565 0.327477 0.658985 1.369219 2.877995 5.987832 13.024304
2026-04-12 0.149298 0.313535 0.645428 1.373813 2.960509 6.315294 14.111625
2026-04-19 0.137776 0.295764 0.622218 1.355360 2.991311 6.535704 14.986752
2026-04-26 0.126204 0.276699 0.594391 1.323843 2.989701 6.684779 15.715943
2026-05-03 0.115818 0.259169 0.568118 1.292907 2.985765 6.827538 16.446158
2026-05-10 0.109812 0.250786 0.560957 1.304401 3.080293 7.203688 17.779445